Overall Future Potential (OFP) For JuCo Baseball Prospects
In order to categorize hundreds of junior college baseball prospects, we’ve added a component to our scouting content that will better funnel the right prospects to the right programs: Overall Future Potential (OFP). On every player we scout, we publish game video, scouting notes, projection analysis, and now, a numerical rating from 1.0 – 5.0 (with half-grade scores allowed) that distills down a player’s tools into one of five purposely broad categories:
- MLB Draft/Professional Career (5.0 OFP)
- Division I/Potential Pro Career (4.0 OFP)
- Division II/Solid College Career (3.0 OFP)
- Division II/III/NAIA Contributor (2.0 OFP)
- Fringe Small School Contributor (1.0 OFP)
OFP grades are based on our scouting work at games, practices, and workouts, as well as conversations with coaches, video review, and accumulation of in-game data. Objective and measurable data pieces that have an impact on a player’s final OFP grade include:
OFP Grade TableOur recommended grading scale to determine Overall Future Potential (OFP) for junior college baseball prospects.
|Grade||Fastball||RHH to 1B||LHH to 1B||60-Yard||Pop Time||Projection|
|5.0 OFP||90 + mph||sub 4.20||sub 4.10||sub 6.7||sub 2.00||MLB Draft|
|4.0 OFP||87-90 mph||4.20 - 4.30||4.10 - 4.20||6.7 - 6.9||2.00 - 2.10||Div I|
|3.0 OFP||84-87 mph||4.30 - 4.40||4.20 - 4.30||6.9 - 7.1||2.10 - 2.20||Div II|
|2.0 OFP||81-84 mph||4.40 - 4.50||4.30 - 4.40||7.1 - 7.3||2.20 - 2.30||Div III|
|1.0 OFP||78-81 mph||4.50 +||4.40 +||7.3 +||2.30 +||Fringe|
Of course, scouting each player is far more nuanced and complicated than reducing his entire baseball future to a single-digit number, and so our individual reports on each prospect are as in-depth as possible. But the OFP scale is a good place for our clients to begin when cutting from thousands of prospects in our database down to a handful of recruits on a preference list. Here’s how each OFP grade breaks down:
MLB Draft/Professional Career (5.0 OFP)
Legitimate Division I prospects with ‘plus’ or above-average tools to likely succeed in pro baseball, as well. Talented enough to plug into an everyday role in the field or a high-leverage role on the mound the moment they reach campus; high-impact recruits. Division I recruits.
Division I/Potential Pro Career (4.0 OFP)
Division I prospects with tools to enjoy solid careers at the four-year level. Some of these players may become pro prospects; most will become productive starters or solid contributors. Mostly Division I recruits; aggressive Division II or NAIA programs may be in the mix.
Division II/Solid College Career (3.0 OFP)
Fringe Division I prospects; most are likely headed for a career at a lower division. Some late-bloomers here, but most in this group have tools that best fit a smaller four-year program. Division I programs may find a sleeper. Strong Division II, III, and NAIA programs will clean up here.
Division II/III/NAIA Contributor (2.0 OFP)
Small school prospects who lack tools and/or physical upside of more in-demand recruits, but they nevertheless compete and produce at the JuCo level. Not stars, but talented enough to play small-school ball past junior college. Division II, III, and NCCAA/NAIA programs.
Fringe Small School Contributor (1.0 OFP)
Similar to pro ball’s “organizational depth” distinction. Mostly filler, but just as org depth guys can reach the big leagues, some of these prospects will find success beyond junior college. Ideal for smaller Division II, III, and NCCAA/NAIA programs.